Maybe I Was Right…

In my prediction #7 from last year: Traditional search results will deteriorate to the point that folks begin to question search's validity as a service. I gave myself a "fail" on this when I graded myself last week. But Anli makes a case in "THREE'S A TREND: THE DECLINE OF…

In my prediction #7 from last year: Traditional search results will deteriorate to the point that folks begin to question search’s validity as a service.

I gave myself a “fail” on this when I graded myself last week. But Anli makes a case in “THREE’S A TREND: THE DECLINE OF GOOGLE SEARCH QUALITY”.

As for 2011 predictions, I’m working on that right now, and hope to have them out later today.

Author: John Battelle

A founder of NewCo (current CEO), sovrn (Chair), Federated Media, Web 2 Summit, The Industry Standard, Wired. Author, investor, board member (Acxiom, Sovrn, NewCo), bike rider, yoga practitioner.

8 thoughts on “Maybe I Was Right…”

  1. Looking forward to reading your 2011 predictions. Care to share the methodology you have perfected over the years to create your highly accurate forecasts? Just wondering…

  2. Looking forward to reading your 2011 predictions. Care to share the methodology you have perfected over the years to create your highly accurate forecasts? Just wondering…

  3. I keep reading these comments about spams and rubbish. but I haven’t noticed any drop in quality myself and I search on google all the time. and when I read examples of poor results, I replicated the search myself and almost always find the results perfectly in line with what I expect from Google both in terms of relevance and depth. None of the spam websites quoted in people’s posts. Personalised search surely counts in part for the difference, however I also suspect people either dun know how to search (some of them think sponsored keyword links on the right are spams) or they’re lying.

  4. I keep reading these comments about spams and rubbish. but I haven’t noticed any drop in quality myself and I search on google all the time. and when I read examples of poor results, I replicated the search myself and almost always find the results perfectly in line with what I expect from Google both in terms of relevance and depth. None of the spam websites quoted in people’s posts. Personalised search surely counts in part for the difference, however I also suspect people either dun know how to search (some of them think sponsored keyword links on the right are spams) or they’re lying.

  5. John – when it comes to that “dishwashers” example from Paul Kedrosky.. haven’t I pretty much been saying the same thing for years now?

    In fact, here are some comments from exactly 4 years ago.. January 2007:

    http://battellemedia.com/archives/2007/01/for_what_its_worth#comment_119385

    Scroll down to halfway through the comment, when I starting talking about purchasing a GPS unit.

    Are people only now starting to realize this? I’ve been having this problem for years.

  6. John – when it comes to that “dishwashers” example from Paul Kedrosky.. haven’t I pretty much been saying the same thing for years now?

    In fact, here are some comments from exactly 4 years ago.. January 2007:

    http://battellemedia.com/archives/2007/01/for_what_its_worth#comment_119385

    Scroll down to halfway through the comment, when I starting talking about purchasing a GPS unit.

    Are people only now starting to realize this? I’ve been having this problem for years.

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