Comments on: Predictions 2011

By: Andrew

Andrew — Mon, 24 Jan 2011 20:19:15 +0000

Apple’s heads will get bigger? Bigger than they already are? won’t they explode? LOL Nice predictions.

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By: SugarFree

SugarFree — Fri, 07 Jan 2011 19:17:23 +0000

The Windows 7 phone? you have to be joking! 20 years later and Microsoft are still trying to produce a PC OS that doesn’t take a super computer to run and doesn’t crash every day…they are going to take a lot longer before they crack the mobile space!
It will however be interesting to see if Nokia continue their demise, or come up with something that captures the imagination again.

By: Ashish

Ashish — Fri, 07 Jan 2011 10:44:31 +0000

What about HTML 5 and all the buzz surrounding it. What kind of mobile OS do you see growing the most?

By: Jan G

Jan G — Thu, 06 Jan 2011 16:54:36 +0000

Good one, just as the previous years, and I think you’ll do pretty well in the “2011 – How I did”.

On a related note, the link to “2010 – How I did seems to have a wrong URL as target (article about Android apps).

By: ObeyTheFist

ObeyTheFist — Wed, 05 Jan 2011 22:07:33 +0000

You don’t have anything to predict about Windows Phone 7? I think it’s going to be one of the biggest stories of 2011. Finally, real competition for the iPhone and a huge, course altering boost to Microsoft.

By: Jeff

Jeff — Wed, 05 Jan 2011 21:09:58 +0000

#2 sounds like Bill Gates at every CES during the 90s. Never happened, and making the prediction 10 years later is a little more reasonable, but to me this is still an area that will see meager change.

I'd love to see more mobile apps pickup on this though, so the phone could stay in the pocket ("when's the next bus?"). Or more like Jawbone's Thought app but from a bigger player that could provide a unify-all-communications box.

By: His Shadow

His Shadow — Wed, 05 Jan 2011 17:15:53 +0000

#7 is pretty much not going to happen. You may have forgotten who is in charge at Apple, and the corporate culture that Steve Jobs is building. How many management employees does Apple have now versus 6 years ago in contrast to it's revenue and market capitalization growth? None of the markers of the bloat, ennui and "drinking the Kool-Aid" mentality that typifies corporate America is in evidence at Apple.

Apple has not acted like any other US corporation since Jobs returned. Unlike many device makers, Apple does not churn out 50 versions of it's hit devices and sacrifice margins by trying to fill every conceivable niche. Apple has also mercilessly culled hardware that it either did not do well or was better handled by other companies (think cameras and printers for starters). When there are 15 models of the iPhone (how many versions of any Motorola handset are there? Pretty much one for every carrier), you can voice concerns about Apple's corporate culture.

By: SEO Training

SEO Training — Wed, 05 Jan 2011 16:34:59 +0000

Very interesting, I have written an SEO Training blog post about what to expect in 2011 in SEO and social media, I thought you might find it interesting.

By: abu

abu — Wed, 05 Jan 2011 15:34:23 +0000

7# touches a really intriguing argument.

Apple has been executing flawlessly for more than 10 years, so everybody wonders when and how they'll start to miss a beat - because you know, nothing is forever.

I don't think the time is this year, anyway, and I don't think that they currently risk to grow too big and sitting on previous success.

The 2nd Jobs' Apple has always, and still is, sharp-focused on product on a level that Google or MS have never been, neither when they were younger, smaller and agile.

Apple has doubled its head count in the last 3 years, but still has roughly half of MS employees.
And most of the new hires are in retail.

The engineering work force is still small and manageable.

Apple hasn't been shy of slowing down OS X development to reallocate resources on iOS, instead of resorting to new hires.

Similarly, they just cut the server division and internal Java development, and they are always been very fast-forward in cutting legacy support.

All these things show that they know well the risk of growing too big and unmanageable, and they plan accordingly.

Their product teams are very focused, their C-level staff is small and tight, and there is apparently no division infighting.

Their mobile computing vision is just starting to take place, and I think they've a very clear vision for the next few years.

They'll eventually do something wrong, but they're not risking to suffer from corporate overgrowth and complacency in the next year.